Yield Curve · 10-Year minus 3-MonthFLAT

Is a recession being predicted?

Flat — no clear signal either way.
And steepening.
0 = INVERTED
0.67%

10-yr yields 0.67 pts above 3-mo bills — no inversion warning.

Lower than 72% of all readings since 1982.

FRED · as of Jul 2026 · computed
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